Tuesday, 4th March, 2025 [Day 1814]

Americans in the hope or expectations that the Americans will provide some minimal backdrop to this. How this is going to play out in the USA is a fascinating question – it is one thing for Trump to devise his own ‘peace plan’ (largely mineral exploitation) and say he is going to do. deal with the Russians but quite another to agree to a plan devised by the Europeans. If I had to make a guess, I would say. that the Americans will adopt a ‘not invented here’ attitude and refuse to go along with the European peace plan but this will really put them on the back foot and blow out of the water their proclaimed proclivities as seeking ‘peace’ in the Ukraine. Without wishing to sound at all chauvinistic about all of this, I think that UK and European diplomacy has been brilliant over the past couple of days, and we have even wheeled out the King to entertain Zelenskyy at Sandringham way in advance of the American president as well. There are two further factors to be considered at this point. The first is that the Russians may well realise that faced with a real European force in prospect (even if not actually attained) they have bitten off a bit more than they can chew and be somewhat more susceptible to agree to a peace deal. There is also the fact that rearmament like this does boost the economy (as we discovered in the 1930’s and perhaps we have history repeating. itself) Rachel Reeves, our Chancellor, has also discovered some money that can be utilised (like searching down the back of the sofa for lost pound coins) and reinforces the view that I have often expressed that whatever the economic difficulties, the governing elites in Britain can always find the money for a war.

We knew that it was going to be a beautiful day so we seized the opportunity to walk down the hill in the pale spring sunshine. I delayed a little until the sun was up and then just collected our newspaper and journeyed back up the hill with just a brief chat with an acquaintance when we were walking down. Upon our return, it was time for the carers to call and Meg seemed pretty tired and a little on the agitated side. So I gave her a couple of pills which help in circumstances like this and let her sleep for the rest of the morning. When Meg has a deep sleep like this during the day, which is actually her body just gradually closing down, there is no point in waking her up to try to get some food inside her so I have just plated up her portion and will microwave it and attempt to feed her when she is awake.

I read an amusing take in a blog commenting upon the current state of play in the Ukraine conflict. This comment was drawing parallels from history and, to quote: ‘The West right now is basically Rome in the 5th century—except instead of barbarian invasions, we have mass immigration; instead of corrupt senators, we have lobbyist-owned politicians; instead of bread and circuses, we have Netflix and TikTok; and instead of legions stretched too thin, we have woke militaries struggling with recruitment. The only thing missing is a guy in a toga declaring, “History will not repeat itself!” right before the collapse.’ To be more serious, the Russian ambassador is claiming that British and French troops would not be acceptable if they arrived in the Ukraine and would, in effect, be regarded as hostile forces whom the Russians would fight. This reflects the Russian world view it was Ukraine suppressing the rights of Russian-speaking people in Eastern Ukraine which led to the war. Also underlining that Russia would not return any Ukrainian territory it occupied as part of a peace deal, the ambassador stated that Russia has historical rights on the territories. Starmer is due to make a statement in the House of Commons this afternoon and there is speculation that if Nigel Farage makes an appearance and attempts to make a speech he will be howled down. In all probability, Farage who can be said to ‘speak for’ Donald Trump will probably just keep his head down. The mood of the House of Commons will be very interesting because one suspects that Starmer’s stock is rising high and he has risen to the challenge and made the best of the current crisis.

Continue Reading

Monday, 3rd March, 2025 [Day 1813]

Yesterday we awoke to a temperature of -1° but an intimation that it would rise to as much as 10° which means that we are starting to see the start of spring-like weather. As we had bad weather in the autumn and Meg was ill around the time of New Year, this has seemed a long and hard winter for us both and I am relieved that its end is in sight. It used to be that Meg and I had a winter break with the Saga holiday chain in late January but that was so long ago that we had forgotten how we used to draw the sting of a British winter. Yesterday was St David’s Day in Wales. This time last year, we actually did attend a St David’s Day in our local Methodist church but as I remember there were more Welsh hymns than anything else – but there again the little musical festival was being performed by the Methodist church’s own organist so this is hardly a surprise. When Meg and I first went to Leicester, we were quite used to what must have been the migration of the Welsh eastwards into the English Midlands during the depression years. The head of the school of Business and Management was a very cultured Welshman (Emrys John) whilst his deputy was the most delightful man, Langley Lewis. I have very fond memories of Lang because he came along to see me after the injuries I sustained when I had both legs broken by a runaway car in 1973. He developed the habit, which I think was an excellent one, of making sure that he had no real work to be done on a Friday afternoon and encouraged anybody who wanted to drop in on him and to have a moan about life in general and work in particular. He provided a sympathetic ear and one always felt better after such conversations. In fact, Meg and I had the good fortune of once meeting up with the Chief Executive of Pretoria in South Africa when we were attending a conference in Toluca, Mexico. This man, who I think was called Hans was somewhat unusual as a very liberal Afrikaner with a very strong accent – a liberal Afrikaner rather sounds like an oxymoron (contradictory ideas in the same phrase such as ‘bitter-sweet’ or the French expression ‘jolie-laird’) This executive had developed the practice of always having an ‘open house’ from about 6.00pm to 7.00pm each day in a suite liberally supplied with drink and anybody could drop in for a drink and a chat about anything at all.In these days of cost efficiency and ‘working from home’ such practices as these would be very rare these days but I suspect that they are enormously beneficial in helping organisations to function effectively. In fact, there is always something a little special about Friday afternoons when the week’s work is largely done unless, of course, you are desperately trying to fulfil a deadline which is sometimes the case.

The more I have reflected upon and seen re-runs of the massive row in the White House where the Ukrainian leader was addressed as though he was a recalcitrant schoolboy, I am convinced that this was to some extent a trap into which Zelenskyy walked. The principal ‘attack dog’ was J D Vance, the American Vice President who has form in this respect by coming to the Munich security conference and telling the UK that the biggest security threat in the UK was not Russia but the diminution of the right to ‘free speech’ in the UK (the basis for this extraordinary outburst was an American citizen who had fallen foul of the exclusion order around abortion clinics and the fact that the UK was demanding that Apple, as an American corporation, should not allow those of criminal intent to hide behind Apple’s security policies) The meeting in the White House was tense but not bad natured for 25 minutes until the point at which J D Vance accessed Zelenskyy of ‘disrespect’ because he tried to educate Vance that diplomacy was not always the answer. An agreement had apparently once been made with Putin over Crimea which Putin had reneged upon and could well do so again unless there was an American backdrop. Zelenskyy did not make matters better for himself when he told Trump that the USA did not how it ‘felt’ (to be a country in conflict) as the USA was separated by huge oceans. Zelenskyy was reflecting a natural European view that the Ukraine is a small landlocked country surrounded by a big, powerful and aggressive neighbour in Russia and the USA could not conceptualise this situation nor was it ever part of their mindset. The fact that Zelenskyy was speaking in his second language did not help, either, and Trump seized the opportunity like a playground bully to put the boot in. But I think that Vance, as a long term critic of the Ukraine conflict, had been itching for an opportunity to start a fight and only had ten minutes left in which to do it. In the meanwhile, the Europeans are doing their best both to support Ukraine and also to act as a bridge to the USA but whether Starmer will succeed is too early to say at this point. Trump himself evidently wishes to normalise relations with Russia and had steadfastly refused to criticise an evident aggressor. Matthew Syed writing in ‘The Sunday Times‘ is almost a lone voice saying that the Europeans and the UK in particular should stop paying obeisance to Trump. But the only consequence of this would be at the wrong end of economic relationships with the USA and to be prepared to fill the gap completely if the Americans decided to withdraw all of their support for the Ukraine completely. Even if the money could be raised, the hardware would have to be bought from the USA which could simply refuse to supply us. Perhaps the best to be hoped for is to desperately play for time as the Russian economy is not in a good place and the ability to sustain the conflict for years to come is itself questionable.

Continue Reading

Sunday, 2nd March, 2025 [Day 1812]

Yesterday was the day then the Ukrainian leader Zelenskyy was due to appear in the Oval Office of the White House and then sign minerals deal with Trump and his coterie. But what ensued was one of the most amazing spectacles ever witnessed in the whole of diplomatic history. Zelenskyy was goaded into a public row and slanging match with both Trump and his Vice President, J D Vance in one of the most unseemly spectacles ever seen. Perhaps Zelensky should have kept his cool but in in any event what ensued was a diplomatic disaster. It did not go well when Trump greeted Zelensky with sarcastic remarks about the military fatigues that Zelenskyy has worn since the start of the war against Russia. Hostilities were started by J D Vance who accused the Ukrainian leader of not having publicly thanked their Americans that day (even though he has done so publicly several times in the past) and was then accused of a lack of respect for both the USA and for Trump. The argument continued when Zelenskyy tried to inform his hosts that diplomatic solutions with Putin were difficult as in the early stages of the co conflict over Crimea, the Russians had reneged on a diplomatic deal for the exchange of prisoners. but after that Zelenskyy could scarcely get a word in edgeways. One got the impression of a wounded animal trapped in a cafe whilst the captors goaded it with pointed sticks and was one of the worst incidents of a public dressing down and humiliation of a leader ever seen and after this, a signing ceremony to conclude the minerals deal was clearly impossible. Zelenskyy then it appears was marched out of the White House and told to return only when he could talk about ‘peace’ which, in the Trump world view, means total abdication. Some of the more extreme members of the Trump chosen press corps was then let loose to upbraid Zelenskyy for not wearing a suit and the rest of the diplomatic world rubbed its collective eyes in disbelief at what they had just witnessed. Meanwhile, the Russians must be laughing their heads off and not believing their good fortune. What happens now is unclear. but Zelenskyy is due to attend a meeting of fellow European leaders in London on Sunday and, so far, they have all rushed around to offer their support for the berated leader. Most of the commentators on these events are saying this is a diplomatic disaster for Zelenskyy but I am not so sure. Trump and his team have been shown up to be up to be xenophobic bullies of the highest order with no regard for diplomatic niceties and conventions but it leaves the Europeans leaders with a real dilemma in how to deal with Trump. Starmer, in particular, must decide whether he acts as a bridge and attempt to heal the rift, but this might. not be possible. The Americans are saying that Zelenskyy should issue a grovelling apology before further talks are possible but as things stand now, all bets are off. Trump also mentioned that this debacle would ‘make excellent television’ so, even if not actively planned, Trump and his team were quite happy for it to unfold in this particular way.

The day started off freezing cold but looked as though it would heat up later in the morning, so Meg and I set off down the hill, enjoying a little spring sunshine. When we called into Waitrose, copies of our daily newspaper had not been delivered so I bought a copy of ‘The Guardian‘ on this momentous day for news. After we had had our normal elevenses with one of our friends in Wetherspoons, we set forth on the road and managed to locate a copy of ‘The Times‘ in W H Smiths. Then we went across the road to the Salvation Army charity shop which happened to have in stock some knee protective supports which I had purchased from them previously. So today, I bought two of them, one for myself and one for our Italian friend who lisves down the road and who I know is having trouble with one of her knees and to whom I mentioned this support the other day. On the way home, I posted one of these supports through her front door with a brief note so that she knows how it has appeared. I also bought a ceramic oven dish which I pressed into service when I got home as we lunched on some spicy chicken nuggets. At the end of the morning, I helped a single carer hoist Meg into her chair in the Music Lounge and did the same thing with another carer to the end of the afternoon, so I have been pressed into service twice over today because of staff shortages (and car breakdown) Although we had seen it relatively recently, Meg and I started watching ‘Swallows and Amazons’ not least for the stunning views of Windermere (and occasionally, Derwentwater).

As might be imagined, the news media is full of the sequelae and analysis of the terrible bust up in the White House yesterday evening. Even though most European leaders have been quick to add their support to Zelenskyy there is a realisation that relationships with the USA have to be repaired. Zelenskyy will no doubt have to learn to keep any disagreements in private and not be filmed for all of the world to see, although he was ganged up on yesterday. Even Trump must realise that if he wants a deal, not to mention mineral rights, then he might have to moderate his behaviour even if not his attitudes. As it happens, there is a European conference in London on Sunday when there will be lots of opportunities for the Europeans to get their acts together but dealing with the mercurial and lying Trump is so difficult. I think there is a phrase in the Bible about not being able to reason with a fool and today we have seen several episodes of the American network MSNBC made freely available on YouTube where commentators are falling over themselves with rage at outrageous Trump behaviour as they see it.

Continue Reading

Saturday, 1st March, 2025 [Day 1811]

So after Meg was safely in bed last night, the much-heralded meeting, with consequent press conferences, took place between Keir Starmer and Donald Trump. In advance of the meeting, it was being said that this was the most important meeting between these two leaders and a lot, including the very future of the Ukraine, was at stake. Now Trump on his home ground was never going to concede much or ‘lose’ an argument and therefore the job of the British Prime Minister was a very tricky one. Having said all that, Keir Starmer put on a very creditable performance with the appropriate amount of flattery and played the Trump card of a personal hand-written invitation from Prince Charles to pay a second state visit to the UK. Whether or not Trump realised he was being played is another matter but the Brits managed to pull off not one visit to the King but two (‘no doubt when you are visiting your golf courses in Scotland, you would like to drop in on Balmoral’ and Trump’s mother was Scottish having left the island of Lewis at the age of 18 to seek her fortune in the USA) The press conferences was full of theatrical bonhomie and the actual meat in the performance was hard to find as there were many statements regarding Ukraine which were vague and of the order ‘Well, no doubt we can work that one out’) but the one genuine surprise was the promise of an early trade deal between the UK and the USA. Now Trump probably does not realise that ‘early’ is not a term to be used about trade deals which take a lot of complicated bargaining and years to resolve but it could be that the threat of tariffs against the UK is pushed a little way down the road. The trouble is that Trump still thinks that VAT is a tariff against Americans and, of course, the UK like the rest of the EU charge VAT but perhaps some of Trump’s less ideological negotiators can be made to appreciate the true nature of VAT. One recalls the expression which I think originates from the Bible which is to the effect ‘never argue with a fool’ but as well as Trump’s limited understanding of issues, he also changes his mind. Last night, he distanced himself from called the Ukrainian leader a ‘dictator’ but will be the meeting with him today to finalise the trade deal over the exploitation of mineral rights in the Ukraine? In the Trumpian world view, seizing many of these mineral assets will be a sort of payment for the monies that the USA have ‘given’ to the Ukraine in the fight against Russia which lie Trump keeps on repeating even after he was corrected by no less a person than President Macron of France in their recent meeting. So, on the British side, I think there are sighs of relief all round and satisfaction that Starmer had played a rather weak hand as well as was possible. On the critical question of whether the USA would provide a backdrop of security guarantees to reinforce the role of a possible peace keeping force, Trump argued that the American investment in the mining of rare minerals in the Ukraine is itself a form of backdrop (which may contain a smidgeon of truth)

Yesterday according to my weather app, although the day started off freezing, the temperature was meant to climb rapidly during the morning. But it was still a bit overcast and chilly when we set off down the hill but things do get better on the way back. On our way down we bumped into some of our Catholic friends who had themselves had a pretty hard winter. Just before Christmas, they had experienced a burglary (and not for the first time, either) and on of our friends had experienced an episode that felt like a heart attack but turned out to be angina. She is now on medication which itself is having side effects. Once we got inside Waitrose, we purchased some ‘Pea and Mint’ packet soup that was on special offer and which we enjoy in any event. On our way back, we had a few snatched words with a ‘park friend’ through an open car window as she was passing and a somewhat longer conversation with our Italian friend who was taking a walk to help her exercise a knee that was troubling her. Then we got back in some sunshine and enjoyed some of our soup before the late morning carer paid us a visit. After a bit of a rest, I decided to press on with our Friday dinner in which I was going to pan fry some fresh salmon and serve it with broccoli and a baked potato. But this lunchtime did not exactly go to plan as Meg refused to eat her food by gritting her teeth and refusing to open her mouth (a symptom of dementia which sometimes happens but is a behaviour pattern brought on by the disease process which, nonetheless, is a difficult to handle when I freshly prepared some food only to throw it away). But most of yesterday, I was rejoicing in the fact that February was well on its way out and I feel we have come through a long, black cloud. This winter has seemed particularly long for us but, of course, we had the bad weather well before Christmas and the lung infection which we thought might be terminal around New Year time, so it is no wonder that with the prolonged cold weather and having to cope with the aftermath of the leak in the dining room ceiling that this winter has seemed long and arduous.

This afternoon we have two bits of TV to which the look forward. Firstly there is ‘Question Time’ first broadcast last night and also a program on James Cook of whom every schoolboy has heard. Cook was a British explorer, cartographer, and naval officer famous for his three voyages between 1768 and 1779 in the Pacific Ocean and to New Zealand and Australia in particular. Although the English generally regard Cook through rose-tinted spectacles, it looks as though the TV programme may be exploring some more unsavoury parts of his character but we should learn to appreciate figures in history ‘warts and all’ I actually have somewhere in my study a copy of one of the James Cook books detailing is Antipodean adventures. The book would normally be considered pretty valuable but someone in the decades or centuries since it was published had excised all of the maps it contained, thus rendering its value practically nil on the second hand book market.

Continue Reading

Friday, 28th February, 2025 [Day 1810]

Yesterday was the day of the crucial meeting between Keir Starmer and Donald Trump and is likely to be one of the most critical meetings possibly for decades. Keir Starmer will try to persuade Trump to provide a backdrop security force to help secure a lasting peace in Ukraine. Trump has repeatedly said there will be no American ‘boots on the ground’ in Ukraine but a more innovative solution is being proposed. This is that the Americans have a designated ‘strike force’ not actually based in Ukraine but ready to strike (probably with missiles) if Putin were to recommence a hot war either in the Ukraine or any of the other threatened states in the region. This might just do the trick and, in all honesty, Starmer has very few bargaining chips. But one that will be pulled out at the appropriate time is the promise of a full state visit to the UK with a promise to ‘hob nob’ with the monarchy via a full state banquet and walks in the Buckingham Place gardens. King Charles and the rest of the royal entourage are quite happy to go along with this charade so long as it seems to be in Britain’s long-term interest and Trump, via his mother, does have a long connection with the UK. How to deal with Trump is a dilemma. The ex-Australian Prime Minister is of the view that Trump, as an innate bully, only respects force and therefore one has to stand up to him and not be rolled over. On the other hand, it is not difficult to appeal to Trump’s vanity so appropriately applied dollops of flattery may well be applied. I think there is a realisation that Trump himself may be mortal and his own health may not survive a four year term. On the other hand, ‘Trumpism’ may well survive via a successor and if massive tax cuts are delivered to the electorate within the next few years, then it quite on the cards that we may have to endure this period of American isolationism for the best part of eight years and not just four. Michael Clarke, a very respected defence analyst, has asked the question ‘Are now living in a world of new imperialism with three great imperialist autocrats who all want to enlarge their countries. Vladimir Putin has been clear in where he wants to enlarge his country, Xi Jinping has made it very clear he wants to enlarge his country into Taiwan and the South China Sea, and Donald Trump is determined to enlarge his country, He is pretty serious about taking Greenland and about Panama and Canada.’ So, we may well be living in a new world order where the poorest of the world, and this country, may well have to pay the price for an increased spend on armaments as the great powers face up to each other and a new ‘Cold War’ era threatens. In the meantime, we are at least pat funding the increased proportion of spending on defence by raiding the overseas aid budget (of which policy, most of the public seems to approve)

Thursday is my shopping day and after Meg had her normal breakfast of some porridge, the sitter who we know well came along so that I can dash off to my local Aldi. Actually, I make a quick tour to my local Morrisons where there is an ATM and I can park just near to it so it gives me the opportunity to get out some daily living cash, pick up a copy of my daily newspaper and collect a TV magazine guide which, since Christmas, I have been in the habit of buying. Shopping was a relatively quick affair and Meg had dozed during the period of time when I was out of the house. There are blue skies and some welcome sunshine this morning which always elevates the spirit. After I return, I have a quick cup of tea and then start to put the shopping away which always takes quite a lot of time. Then I start to prepare the lunch which is a case of dicing some onions, peppers and tomatoes and then adding some cubed meat remnants and onion grave and some petit pois. I traditionally add some diced apple, sultanas and a spoonful of brown sugar. I serve up Meg’s portion on a small serving of pasta whilst I try to keep the carbohydrate count down by substituting some cream crackers which I break into small pieces. The whole meal is finished off with a dollop of plain Greek yogurt. I almost invariably prepare a little too much so I have pout some on one side which I might consume for a bit of supper once Meg has been put to bed.

Now that the world is trying to advance to a fossil-fuel free future, much attention is being paid the world’s deposits of rare earths and minerals. One of the most important of these is lithium and I idly wondered where most of the world’s lithium was to be found. The answer appears to be in South America (Chile) and also in Australia, China, (which, as you might expect, has made itself very active in this area) Chile and Argentina. Donald Trump appears to be eyeing up the Ukraine for some of its mineral deposits and titanium is much valued for its lightness and strength. The major companies here are China (again), Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Kazakhstan before we come to the Ukraine which currently supplies some 5% of total world production. Ukraine has deposits of 22 of the 34 minerals identified by the European Union as critical, according to Economy Ministry data. This includes industrial and construction materials, ferroalloy, precious and non-ferrous metals, and some rare earth elements. Kyiv says these resource represent trillions of dollars of untapped mineral wealth, but industry experts say it could take years for investors to make significant profits from a sector reeling from war and chronic underinvestment.

Finally norovirus is rearing its ugly head again and there are several strains still in circulation. The Department of Health do not know if we have reached a peak this year but it is said to be very infectious and to be quite a severe risk for those with compromised immune systems. We have some hand gel available for the care workers to utilise but I think I probably need to remind the various care workers to use this every time that they visit.

Continue Reading

Thursday, 27th February, 2025 [Day 1809]

Before the carers call to put Meg to bed each evening, after Meg and I had a little supper and her evening pills, we often flick over to YouTube to see if there is a concert or bit of comedy with which to round off the day. Yesterday, we did this as usual and the first item we were presented with was an MSNBC news channel item about Donald Trump. MSNBC is one of the two leading ‘liberal’ i.e., not right-wing, news channels in the USA, the other being CNN. What we saw was an MSNBC anchor arguing that America always used to be a leader of the ‘free’ world i.e. a force that led the fight against dictatorship and free speech when this was exhibited across the globe. The anchor man was saying that the USA had just abandoned its role as leader of the free world by siding in the United Nations with Russia, Belarus and North Korea in not condemning the Russian invasion of the Ukraine. ‘Trump became the first American president in history fully humiliated on the world stage by instantly getting caught and corrected in his lie (by Macron),’ he continued. But this was not all. The channel then showed whilst Trump was raging against his predecessor for signing such terrible trade deals with Mexico and Canada, it was actually Trump himself, which the videoclip demonstrated, who had actually signed the deals in his first presidency. Keir Starmer is due to meet with Trump in a ‘make or break’ meeting with Trump on Thursday and the political commentators are speculating that Starmer will probably not have the nerve to publicly correct Trump’s rants and lies when we will be subjected to these after the visit of the UK Prime Minister. It is being reported today that a deal has been done between USA and the Ukraine over access to mineral and rare earth rights in deposits in Ukraine which just happen to be quite near the Russian border. At first sight, one would have thought that the Americans had enforced a deal on the Ukraine which was exploitative and massively in the interests of the USA and not the UK. But it might be that the totality of this deal works to the advantage of the Ukraine in the long term as it ties the Americans into a trade deal in which they will wish to protect their investment, and this might act as a deterrent to Russian incursions in the future. The Russians are reported to be unhappy about the new trade deal so having been rejoicing over the past few days that they have got everything they could have wished for in the Ukraine conflict, they now have a cloud on their horizon. Whether this is the case or not may well become clearer when details of the grade deal are actually published and the world as a whole had a chance to mull over it. Mr Trump, however, views the minerals transaction with Ukraine as a fair way to recoup the billions of dollars that the US has given Kyiv – via weapons and financial support – to assist the armed forces in their fight against Russia’s full-scale invasion over the past three years. The document also does not provide a commitment from Washington to give security guarantees to Ukraine in the wake of any ceasefire deal with Vladimir Putin – something that Kyiv desperately needs and has been asking for. The accord, once signed, could unlock a new long-term partnership between Kyiv and Mr Trump’s White House after weeks of increasingly tense exchanges.

This morning, we had a new carer as part of the double that gets Meg up in the morning. The ‘new’ carer was an ambulance worker as well and thus was well used to handling patients of all types and this is evidently tremendously useful in her additional job with the care agency. Later in the morning, our domestic help called around as Wednesday is now her preferred day and I was particularly pleased that she managed to rescue i.e. find, one of my favourite mugs which I had put on a high mantlepiece where I could not immediately see it. This morning, the weather was particularly windy and unpleasant and I was more than pleased that we did not plans to go out today. When I put the bins out this afternoon ready for an early collection and emptying first thing in the morning, the wind seemed to persist and to seem particularly cold to me and my weather app told me that the 24 mph gusts of wind would make the 8° feel like 3°. Meanwhile, there seems to be a backlash developing to the Elon Musk DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) swinging budget cuts. Three different federal judges delivered legal setbacks and slap downs to President Donald Trump in the span of an hour and a half on Tuesday in a series of cases challenging controversial moves taken during the early days of his second term. The upshot of these legal setbacks is that various of the swinging cuts, including to the US Aid budget, have been declared illegal and the cuts are having to be reversed. At the same time, an even bigger scandal is emerging in which Elon Musk, a ‘Special Government Employee’ has been given exclusive access to the whole of US Treasury financial systems, including details of Medicare payments. In theory, this is to root out corrupt payments but in practice , Musk and his acolytes are crawling all over sensitive financial data which is causing utmost alarm in Democratic circles. It must be pointed out that Musk and his acolytes have just been ‘appointed’ to their positions and is akin to opening up a bank’s internal books to a group of friends of the manager of the bank. Some commentators on the MSNBC channel are even suggesting that Musk and his colleagues might have access to, and may be copying, all the social security, Medicare and taxation details of most individuals within the Unites States – and all of this quite illegally. The point is that only Congress can authorise access to these systems and not the President and his appointees and we may be witnessing the biggest data breach in the world. Elon Musk is said to have ‘Read Only’ access to this data but this does not mean that data cannot be copied and then sold on to the highest bidder.The Republicans are absolutely supine in the face of this Trump onslaught as, no doubt, they fear the consequences of opposing Trump as they may face the electoral consequences.

I personally cannot wait for the month of February to be over and for March to commence and, in particular, I am getting impatient for the cold spell that we are experiencing to move away. But it looks as though we are going to have a period of cold winds yet and, of course, as the old expression has it that ‘March comes in like a lion and goes out like a lamb’.

Continue Reading

Wednesday, 26th February, 2025 [Day 1808]

Yesterday morning we awoke to the prospect of the weather gradually improving and the afternoon the day before seemed to be a lovely spring day, although Meg and I were only looking out of the window. But we have the prospect before us of something approaching spring weather when we anticipate that we will make our trip down the hill to meet up with our friends in Wetherspoons. These days as I keep a careful eye on the weather, I think I am more concerned that it is not too windy and rainy which might rule out a trip in the wheelchair but if it is a tad colder but sunny then Meg can be kept warm with a multitude of blankets. Pride of place goes to an immensely thick ex-military Russian made blanket which I purchased in the autumn, and which is so thick that I doubt that any rain would penetrate it it any case. We witnessed something in the United Nations last night which one imagines would never be seen. There was a non-binding motion which was passed by the General Assembly (i.e. not the Security Council) in which Russia was condemned for its invasion of Ukraine which happened three years ago to the day. The USA voted with Russia, Belarus and North Korea in voting against the motion which was subsequently passed, and I heard some American commentators who were absolutely aghast that the USA would side with Russia and a few other rogue states in this particular way. Macron and Trump engaged in a carefully choreographed display of public amity after their meeting yesterday but Macron did contradict Trump publicly when Trump engaged in an untrue rant to the effect that the USA had given money directly to Ukraine, but Europe had only dispensed loans. Macron pointed out, with his hand on Trump’s knee(!) that actually the truth was that both USA and Europe had made Ukraine the recipient of both absolute loans as well as grants and one wonders whether when Starmer meets Trump he will also publicly correct some of Trump’s rants.

On a more mundane note, I had to do a quick search to find out when Lent starts this year and it is in a week’s time. This raises the dilemma for me whether I shall give up chocolate for Lent, as I customarily do. I generally find the abstinence from fast cars and loose women is easier for me to bear in the days of abstinence that lie ahead, but giving up chocolate is quite a deprivation. By the way, I wonder if the opposite of ‘loose women’ is ‘tight women’ but let us let that pass. Incidentally, it has always amused me that both the Muslim Ramadan and the Christian Lent have been timed to coincide when periods when food supplies were running short after the winter so there was a theological underpinning for the belt tightening which is associated with these periods of abstinence. This morning after breakfast we set off in good time and enjoyed some almost spring-like weather with crocuses out in abundance and daffodils at various spots along our route. We met up with two of our friends in Wetherspoons but the third is having a bit of a rheumatic incident of some kind and so could not join us. On the way down the hill, I did don a pair of gloves to save my fingers sustaining further cracks to which they are susceptible in the cold weather and then took them off whilst we visited Waitrose to pick up our newspapers and some further supplies. But on my way out of Wetherspoons, I suddenly thought ‘gloves’ but could not remember taking them off and putting them anywhere. On the off-chance I had left them in the store, we retraced our steps back until about 120 yards from the store, I espied one glove. I went a bit further and then discovered its twin that looked as though it had been run over by a car but no matter. I had evidently taken my gloves on entering the store and put them on top of the wheelchair and then totally forgotten them. I could not quite my relief in being reunited with this pair of gloves, not least because they are a good leather pair and not some woollen gloves whose loss could be borne more easily. Needless to say, after this lucky escape, I will take especially good care of them in the future so that I do not need to be lucky a second time. As Tuesday is my sit day, I sat Meg in front of ‘YouTube‘ and the ‘Hallelujah’ chorus from Handel’s ‘Messiah’ before I made a a lightning trip out to a large store which I know sells some cosmetic products of which Meg has a need, and I need to replenish occasionally. Having parked quickly, located my purchase quickly, I was then stuck behind a chap having an argument with the till staff about whether some items were on special offer or not (to be fair, sometimes the in-store labelling is somewhat imprecise and it is difficult to ascertain to which products the special offer pertains)

There are two bits of domestic news, each unwelcome in its own way. Firstly gas prices are to rise 6.4% in April which is a bigger than expected increase- but those on ‘fixed’ deals may be able to avoid some of the initial sting of inevitable price increases. But the more dramatic news is that defence expenditure is due to rise from 2.3% to 2.5% by 2027 – in other words some time in the next 22 months. This is going to be paid for, at least in part, buy cuts in the overseas aid budget. So he various poorest on earth are going to be sacrificed in order to re-arm Britain. Personally, I would have liked a special tax to be levied, perhaps as an extension to VAT, and called a ‘Putin tax’ so that people realised for what purposes the extra revenues raised were intended.

Continue Reading

Tuesday, 25th February, 2025 [Day 1807]

As widely predicted, the results of the election in Germany showed sweeping gains for the far-right party, Alternative for Germany (AfD). Whilst the (conservative) CDU/CSU won the election with not quite 30% of the vote, the Alternative for Germany secured nearly 20% whilst the (socialist) SPD sunk to about 16%, less than the AfD. There is a kind of firewall in place in Germany where the conventional political parties refuse to entertain the AfD as a coalition partner but one has to reflect that Hitler came to power democratically in the 1930’s before consolidating power as the Nazi party. Some political commentators are wondering whether in the next election, the AfD might be able to mount a successful challenge for the Chancellorship of Germany. All of this, has driven me to reflect upon the rise of extreme right wing (i.e. quasi fascist) parties across much of European and American society and, of course, the interesting political question is why this should be the case. The most typical explanation is that voters, and particularly young voters are fed up with what used to be called the ‘Tweedle Dum’ and ‘Tweedle Dee’ nature of politics where despite general elections, nothing really seems to change. One can understand this in the case of European societies that have a form of proportional representation because the majority of governments are coalition governments, take months of negotiation to form and just seem to be a continuation of what went before. Hence the right-wing parties, fuelled by the immigration issue, seem to represent a decisive break with the past. We are witnessing a similar trend in the UK where a right-wing Conservative government has been replaced by a Socialist government with a huge majority, but nothing seems to really change. Once in power, all governments are faced with the realities of power where complex problems (climate change, economic growth, the state of the NHS and public services) are not susceptible to the simple slogans that political parties use to get elected. There is a wonderful phrase associated with American politics that ‘you campaign in poetry but have to govern in prose’. The phrase suggests that political campaigns often rely on inspirational language, idealism, and emotional appeal—characteristics associated with poetry. In contrast, governing requires practicality, clarity, and straightforwardness, akin to prose. This saying highlights the difference between the aspirational, often grandiose rhetoric used to win support during elections and the more pragmatic, sometimes mundane realities of actual governance. It underscores the idea that while captivating speeches can rally people, effective leadership depends on clear communication and practical decision-making. To return to the case of the UK political scene, the actions of the incoming Labour government (such as cutting the winter fuel allowance for pensioners) seem to be the policies that a Conservative party would deploy whereas the Tories themselves, claiming to be the party of ‘low taxation’ have presided over one of the highest tax regimes that the country has ever known. A large part of the disillusionment of electorates with the political system and practically non-existent economic growth for decades can be understood if one looks at the simple facts of demography and the consequences of living in a society where the aged and retired are forming a larger part of society as a whole. When the post WWII welfare state was founded, a young male might leave school at 15, work until they are 65 i.e. contribute to taxes and national insurance for 50 years and then live for another 5-10 years. But today with the expansion of higher education on the one hand and the advances of medical science on the other, a person might not start to contribute to the tax take until the age of 25 (after university education and post graduate training) and then be declared redundant or retire at the age of 55. This is 25 years of contributions which now funds perhaps 30 years of retirement if they live to the age of 85. So, what economists called the ‘dependency’ ratio has altered dramatically and, irrespective of political ideology, explains why our tax burdens are so high and cannot easily be cut. Meanwhile centres of manufacturing have moved to China and the Far East where the problems of demography are not so acute (although, as the decades advance, the same problems will face them as well).

The previous evening, I was particularly pleased that I managed somehow to resurrect the credentials so that I could access the Teachers Pensions Agency website (quite a good one) to check out Meg’s pension arrangements as well as my own. Now that I have managed to do this (and ensured that I have the log on credentials in a secure place) I have been able to send off a query that we have about Meg’s pension to which a reply might be forthcoming in 10 working days time which is in two weeks time. The important thing about all of this is that we now have a record of Meg’s Teacher Number which is important to know to unlock her contribution record. This morning we knew that we had a scheduled meeting with the physiotherapist(s) and with one of the managers of the care agency to see if we could restore some flexibility to Meg’s knees. The physiotherapist who was the same person as saw Meg last time was pretty successful in getting Meg’s legs relatively straight and then communicated the best ways in which this was to be done to the care manager who turned up a little later than planned. The physio was going to write up some detailed therapy notes so that these could be incorporated into Meg’s care plan and then the agency manager was going to promulgate these notes to the rest of the staff so that they would know what actions to perform. So our session with the physios was pretty helpful this morning and I thanked them for what they had done. This now completes this particular session of physio care for Meg and if I needed any further tranches of treatment, then this would have to be a new reference from our family doctor.

I spent a certain amount of time trying to work out (again) how to convert the text (e.g. this blog) into the spoken word. I have used this facility which is part of both Windows 10 and Windows 11 but had forgotten how to do it. After a certain amount of messing about, I got this to work but I am sure that last time I got it working I did it via a separate set of commands. This facility I do not intend to use a great deal but as it is provided by the technology, I need to remember how to use it when I wish. This time around, I will make sure I write myself some notes which are easily accessible when I need them – probably just in an email addressed to myself which means I can find my notes again easily.

Continue Reading

Monday, 24th February, 2025 [Day 1806]

Yesterday was a day when the carers were again scheduled to come at 7.20am in the morning which means that I needed to get up an hour and a half earlier – consequently, I do not think that I slept particularly well because perhaps because I was conscious of the fact of an earlier start this morning. We generally do not make a trip out on a Sunday morning as later in the day, we often receive a visit from our University of Birmingham friend to which we always look forward. The political agenda in the forthcoming week is probably dominated by the visit that Keir Starmer is due to pay to the White House on Thursday. There is a consensus view that the UK Prime Minister will have to approach this meeting with the utmost delicacy, expressing warm words for the president in public (for the sake of the cameras) but perhaps informing Trump in private conversations that some of his ideas are actually quite mad, as well as being illegal (for example, emptying Gaza of Palestinians, ending the Ukraine war by appeasing Russia and getting American hands on mineral deposits) President Macron of France will precede Starmer by meeting with Trump on Monday and no doubt the European leaders will have got their act together to deliver a uniform European view. The whole meeting is characterised by an analogy that was used in the run up to the election i.e. a Ming Vase moment when, in this thought experiment, one has to walk very carefully across a room bearing a priceless Ming Vase but frightened to death of dropping it. The Brits always like to talk about the ‘special relationship’ that the UK has with the USA but the Americans never do unless they have been reminded by their own diplomatic staff. In the case of the Trump coterie, I doubt that he words will ever enter their heads and, in any case, the Trump administration is probably of the mindset that Europe if now ‘finished’ and not worth bothering with. Sky News have broadcast a long, rambling and sometimes incoherent speech by Donald Trump full of uncheckable facts and some pure venom and he termed anything in the previous administration pursuing probably quite centrist policies such as the US Aid programme as ‘radical Left Marxists’ In an act of pure vindictiveness, he has denied ex-President Jo Biden any access to government papers which is a customary right bestowed on all past presidents and has threatened to go after any members of the judiciary who had overseen any actions against Trump in the past. So much for the ‘separation of powers’ between the legislative and judicial arms of government.

Mid morning our University of Birmingham friend called around, as is often the case on Sunday mornings. We nearly always have an academic topic that we need to discuss with each and yesterday a lot of our attention was devoted to problems of measurement. We both have an interest in this even though we come from very different academic traditions and we explored the concept of reliability vs. accuracy. I had a vague remembrance of a diagram which explained these concepts perfectly, using the example of arrows hitting a target butt. Fortunately, I managed to find a website that illustrated these points where a measure could be reliable (consistent in the results) but consistently wrong as in arrows that cluster closely together but off the bull’s eye. As opposed to this, we have results that are regarded as accurate but re rather inconsistent. My friend was going to do a bit of reading around these concepts and explore them further with another friend with whom he was having similar discussions. My friend do not mind the fact that this academic interest of ours could be regarded as a little ‘nerdish’ but I recall well the incident were an accountant who was supervising one of our placement students when discussing her work in general was bemoaning the fact that she had no real concept of the approximate magnitude e.g. of an invoice which came before them. He uttered the observation which I have. not forgotten that the student had the facility to be ‘precisely wrong instead of approximately correct’, perhaps because she was one of the generations who had used calculators all of their lives. Actually, when working out anything, it is always a good idea to have an approximate answer to a question so that one is not wildly wrong but in the right ballpark. Towards lunchtime. my son and his wife called round to see us and I explained to them what was happening with the mistaken direct debit issue with Worcestershire County Council. We then did a few experiments to see if I could get my main computer to use ‘Siri’ to locate a misplaced phone and we managed to get this working to get us out of accidental misplacements in the future.

We had some lunch where I was pleased to able to get most of it inside Meg whilst we were watching the Italy France 6 Nations rugby match. Despite Italy being one of the weakest teams in the tournament, they played with a great deal of panache (appropriately against the French) and actually scored two tries in the first half. As a team, they are improving season by season and beat Wales a fortnight ago to mark a new ‘low’ for Welsh rugby. The weather yesterday proved to be very windy and showery, and I was relieved that it was not a kind of day when Meg and I usually take a trip out. The very likeable male Asian carer came around in the afternoon and I assisted him in getting Meg hoisted into her chair in the lounge/bedroom. He was going to goo with a friend to visit an Italian restaurant so we were discussing the type of Italian food in which he might be interested. Steering away from the spaghetti bolognese, I thought he might like to try a Carbonara or, in fact, anything with either fish or mushrooms in it, both of which make Italian food very interesting.

Continue Reading

Saturday, 22nd February, 2025 [Day 1804]

Last night myself and the carers were in some disarray wondering whether or not Meg’s hospital bed which failed to function as it would receive any attention before Meg’s bedtime. The engineer who had conducted the routine test on the bed only about a fortnight before turned up having been phoned at home by the firm responsible for the bed. Actually the village of Catshill is only a couple of miles distant whilst the other on duty engineer was in Stoke on Trent. The engineer discovered that a key transponder unit had failed which meant that the bed could not be raised or lowered but other sections of the bed could be made to work. New unit would take a week to arrive so the carers would have to work with the bed at an intermediate height for several days. Although this whole incident was unfortunate, I was still very pleased to see the engineer at relatively short notice as I only phoned the firm sometime after 5.00pm after we had discovered that it had failed and I am sure we can out up with some inconvenience for a few days. I am relieved that the weather this morning has turned up so much milder but at the price of some gusty rain (of which there is an 18% chance) so I shall have to make a judgement call whether or not to give Meg a quick push down the hill to collect our newspaper. The wind direction might also be a critical factor because if it is behind us on the way back, this is much more tolerable and easier to cope with than if the wind is blowing from the West. The political news this morning relates to the question whether the far-right political leaders in this country, such as Nigel Farage the leader of the Reform party will endorse the oft repeated claim by Donald Trump that the Ukrainian leader is a dictator. Nigel Farage has said Volodymyr Zelenskyy is not a dictator and everything Donald Trump says should be taken ‘truthfully not literally which seems a weasle form of words if ever I heard any. The Reform UK leader also said he did not think Ukraine started the war with Russia and claimed Mr Trump was talking about ‘causal factors’ when he suggested as such. Meanwhile Priti Patel who would normally be a Trump acolyte has agreed with the Nigel Farage view, so we now have the interesting scenario where even the far right in this country safe having to disavow some of the wilder statements that Trump makes. Meanwhile, in the US a prominent magazine an artificial image has been shown of Trump actually wearing a crown and called a ‘King’ which given the broad sweep of American history appears preposterous. Meanwhile on our own continent the Germans are having an election in which the German Far Right (Alternative for Germany) is expected to do extraordinarily well. The Far Right is being assisted by a massive Russian disinformation campaign as well as the active endorsement of the American vice-president, J D Vance and a welter of social media. All of this amounts to as clear a meddling in the internal elections of a European country as it is possible to see but the Far Right has been so emboldened by the Trump presidency that there are no practical restraints on it any more. Finally on this topic, I am pleased to see that the Sky News presenter, Sophie Ridge whose style of journalism I like and admire is now publicly calling for the Trump lies and fulminations to be ‘called out’ which is something that most politicians close to government are failing to do.

It is said that troubles come in threes but this morning the reverse turned out to be true as I had three pleasant surprises in the morning. I had decided it was a bit too windy to expose Meg to the elements so I was just on my out in the car to collect my daily newspaper when I received a phone call from my University of Birmingham friend. We are always pleased to see him so we had an enormously pleasant chat, aided by coffee and some remnants of chocolate cake. In the middle of his visit, the engineer called round with a whole new ‘transponder’ unit (I think they are called) which might or not work in the hospital bed. The engineer fitted the new unit and it worked perfectly so the bed is now fully restored to functionality. Naturally, I thanked the engineer effusively and am so grateful for his prompt attention – and this was the second of the good things that happened this morning. Lastly, I had a canvas from a very nice lady who, as it happened, was campaigning for a seat on the County Council and she has a fair chance of retaining this. Several years ago, I had leafletted for her predecessor (which she did not know) but was grateful for my offer of support in the future (but not the immediate future, because of Meg which she well understood) I told her about the direct debit fiasco with Worcestershire County Council and she was horrified. As it happens, she has very good relations with a County Councillor from the governing party who is in a position to make representations on my behalf. So I am going to write a long email to the lady who canvassed me this morning and she assured me that she would follow it through and make sure that I received some satisfaction in how this particular mistake was to be rectified.

I am cooking a basa fillet for lunch which I discovered lurking in the far recesses of the freezer and I am going to cook it, now that it defrosted, in the same way that I used to cook sea-bream fillets. Doing some reading around the subject, it appears that this fish whilst cheap may be subject to industrial contaminants if farmed in South East Asia, so despite saying ‘Responsibly sourced’ I think I will not buy this product again. The carers are not due to call until way past our normal lunchtime today and I needed to help out with helping the one care assistant this morning because of staffi

Continue Reading